I’m 60 years old with $1,000,000… can I retire?

June 5, 2024

By Guerra Wealth Advisors

Categories: wealth advisors, wealth management

Imagine the day you officially hit $1 million in retirement savings—woo-hoo! But is everything truly set? While reaching a million dollars is a significant milestone, the critical question remains: will it be enough to sustain a comfortable lifestyle throughout retirement? This is a common concern among those approaching retirement age.

Let’s explore the various factors that influence the adequacy of retirement savings.

A couple’s retirement planning

Recently, a couple, both aged 67, sought advice on their retirement readiness. Their goal was to maintain a standard of living that required $100,000 annually. This sum covered their everyday expenses, taxes, insurance, travel, and gifts. However, the analysis revealed several challenges they needed to consider.

The impact of inflation

One of the significant factors affecting retirement savings is inflation. The purchasing power of $100,000 today will diminish over time due to inflation, which averages around 3.2% annually. This means that in ten years, the couple will need more than $100,000 to maintain the same standard of living.

Social Security benefits

The couple’s Social Security benefits provided a partial solution. They expected to receive $5,200 monthly ($3,400 for him and $1,800 for her), totaling $62,400 annually. This left a shortfall of approximately $37,600 per year, which they would need to withdraw from their savings.

Analyzing retirement scenarios

To determine the longevity of their savings, three scenarios were considered based on different annual return rates:

  1. Zero percent return:
    • If the million dollars earned zero interest, similar to a checking account, their savings would deplete by age 84.
  2. Three percent return:
    • With an average annual return of 3%, the savings would last until age 89, extending the funds by five years.
  3. Six percent return:
    • Assuming an average annual return of 6%, their savings could last until age 99, considering taxes.

Key factors affecting retirement savings

Several variables can impact the longevity of retirement funds. Here are some critical considerations:

Investment returns

The rate of return on investments significantly affects how long retirement savings will last. Higher returns can help stretch the savings further, but achieving consistent returns is challenging. Market fluctuations can cause significant variations in annual returns, affecting the overall savings.

Longevity and healthcare costs

Retirement planning must account for the possibility of living longer than expected and the associated health care costs. Long-term care, medical expenses, and unforeseen health issues can rapidly deplete savings.

Taxes

Withdrawals from retirement accounts are often subject to taxes, which can reduce the available funds. Future changes in tax laws can also impact the net amount retirees receive.

Social Security considerations

The death of one spouse can reduce the household’s Social Security income, as the surviving spouse typically receives the higher of the two benefits. This reduction in income needs to be factored into the retirement plan.

Market volatility

Inconsistent returns from the market can also affect the sustainability of retirement savings. For example, a year with a significant negative return can have a more substantial impact than several years of moderate positive returns.

Creating a robust retirement plan

Given the complexities and uncertainties, it is crucial to have a well-thought-out retirement plan. Here are some steps to ensure financial security in retirement:

Diversify investments

  • Diversification: Spread investments across different asset classes to reduce risk and improve the chances of achieving a stable return.
  • Regular review: Periodically review and adjust the investment portfolio to align with changing market conditions and personal circumstances.

Plan for longevity

  • Life expectancy: Plan for a longer life span to avoid outliving your savings.
  • Health insurance: Ensure adequate health insurance coverage to manage potential medical expenses.

Consider inflation

  • Inflation protection: Invest in assets that have the potential to outpace inflation, such as stocks or inflation-protected securities.

Maximize Social Security

  • Delay benefits: If possible, delay claiming Social Security benefits to increase the monthly amount received.
  • Spousal benefits: Understand the rules around spousal benefits to maximize household income.

Prepare for the unexpected

  • Emergency fund: Maintain an emergency fund to cover unexpected expenses without dipping into retirement savings.
  • Long-term care insurance: Consider purchasing long-term care insurance to cover the costs of extended medical care.

Conclusion

Retiring with a million dollars is a commendable achievement, but ensuring that the money lasts requires careful planning and consideration of various factors. By understanding the impact of inflation, investment returns, health care costs, taxes, and market volatility, individuals can create a more resilient retirement plan. Consulting with financial advisors and regularly reviewing the retirement strategy can help mitigate risks and provide a secure financial future.

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